Trophic cascades

We now understand consumer–resource dynamics through the lens of a simple model:

\[\frac{dR}{dt} = rR - aRC\]

\[\frac{dC}{dt} = eaRC - mC\]

  • An increase in consumer is detrimental to the resource
  • An increase in resource is beneficial for the consumer

Most ecological communities have multiple trophic levels

(e.g. plant, herbivore, carnivore)

  • How might we model these?

Let’s consider a model with a Resource (\(R\)), “first level Consumer” (\(C_1\)), and “second level Consumer (\(C_2\)):

\[\frac{dR}{dt} = rR - aRC_1\]

\[\frac{dC_1}{dt} = e_1a_1RC_1 - m_1C_1 - e_2C_1C_2\] . . .

\[\frac{dC_1}{dt} = e_2a_2C_1C_2 - m_2C_2\] ##

(see also: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-oCdHXgzhU&list=RDM-oCdHXgzhU&start_radio=1 )

Image from “Trophic downgrading of planet Earth”, Estes et al. 2011

Otters as keystone species

  • This research, along with others, raised the idea of otters as a “Keystone” species

  • These are species that are not super-common, but have a disproportionate impact

  • Predators seem to be common keystone species:

    • They regulate other organisms, which regulate other organisms

Keystones in other systems:

https://www.pbs.org/wnet/nature/serengeti-rules-dhbtnm/19906/

(Min 18:34)

https://www.pbs.org/wnet/nature/serengeti-rules-dhbtnm/19906/

Min 33:15

Synthesis

When we simply observe nature, we can be surprised by seemingly unrelated things being linked to one another

  • e.g. What does a virus that affects cattle have to do with the spread of wildfire?
  • Or what does the reintroduction of wolves to Yellowstone have to do with hydrology of the rivers in that valley?

But we can make sense of these when we apply a reductionist lens:

  • Cattle viruses keep wildebeest in check, as a result of which grasses proliferate, which changes the vegetation structure and alters wildfire spread

On the other hand, a reductionist lens alone might lead us to miss some bigger picture connections